[Posting] Game End Conditions
From:streu
Thread:Game End Conditions
Forum:News
Date:Sun, 2014-03-30 08:27 GMT

All public games on this server use the approximately turn X end condition. This means that at turn X and later, the host rolls a die and terminates the game at a certain probability, which rises every turn.

As I understood it, the period after turn X appears too long for many players. I have therefore doubled the probabilities, and games should now no longer "overshoot" that much. Your next turn emails will tell you about an end condition change; this is what it is about.

For reference, here are the old and new probabilities:

 Turn    Old     New
   0    95.00%  90.00%
   1    88.35%  76.50%
   2    79.52%  61.20%
   3    69.97%  45.90%
   4    59.48%  32.13%
   5    49.37%  20.88%
   6    39.49%  12.53%
   7    30.80%   6.89%
   8    23.10%   3.45%
   9    16.87%   1.55%
  10    11.81%   0.62%
  11     8.03%   0.22%
  12     5.22%   0.07%
  13     3.29%   0.02%
  14     1.97%   0.00%
  15     1.14%   0.00%
  16     0.63%   0.00%
  17     0.33%   0.00%
  18     0.17%   0.00%
  19     0.08%   0.00%
  20     0.04%   0.00%

"Old" and "New" are the probabilities that the game will see that turn. Where there was a 11.81% probability that you see a turn 90 until now, this probability now dropped to 0.62%


--Stefan